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Starting April, 2008, Madison Project will be regularly posting blogs on the races where its candidates are involved. The Project will do its best to post up-to-date poll numbers for the races, breaking news, insights, and press releases so that Madison members can track how the endorsed candidates are doing in their respective races.

John Gard, who is running in WI-8, is only down 4 to the Democrat incumbent according to a recent poll. Gard only lost by about 6,000 votes last time, so this could be a tight one again.


I keep on seeing reports that the Colorado Senate race is looking bad for Bob Schaffer, that Udall will win. And then Rasmussen comes out with a poll yesterday that shows Bob only down by 4. You throw in the leaners, he’s only down 3, and all this with a margin of error of 4.5%, so both numbers put Bob within the margin of error. I’ll take those numbers right now. A month ago, Bob was down 9. So this is hardly over.


Over the last few days Fred has hit Zack Space over his votes against expanding drilling and ending our reliance on foreign oil and gas. The American people get this issue.
I find it odd that the Democrats are leaving themselves so exposed politically on this one. Space, Pelosi, Hoyer, et al came into DC in January of 2007 promising something “comprehensive” in regards to rising gas prices. Last time I checked, the price per tank has gone up almost $2 per gallon over the last year and a half.


The Next Right posted this entry on how the Denver Post had a hit piece on Schaffer. The good news is that Colorado blogger Rossputin wasn’t going to take it lying down. He’s decided to do an eight part series on the truth of the matter. We’ll keep linking to Rossputin’s blog as he reports.


The results off the New Mexico Secretary of State’s site show Pearce with 51.3% and Wilson at 48.7%. Looks like Pearce has it. However, it will be a very tough general election against the Democrat, Tom Udall. The last Rasmussen poll shows Udall up 53% to 37% over Pearce.


That’s a shame, but I’m pretty sure Pearce wins tomorrow in the primary.

Domenici endorses Wilson over Pearce for Senate

 

With just four days left until the Republican primary in New Mexico, Sen. Pete Domenici (R-N.M.) endorsed Rep. Heather Wilson (R-N.M.) as his favored successor, giving the five-term congresswoman a critical boost as she faces an uphill primary battle against her Congressional colleague Rep. Steve Pearce (R-N.M.).

Domenici had stayed out of the primary up until Friday night, despite the fact that Wilson has been his political protégé — and that he more closely identified with her more-moderate brand of Republicanism than Pearce’s sharper conservative philosophy.

Domenici cited the anti-tax Club for Growth’s ad campaign attacking Wilson as the impetus for making the public endorsement, saying that “such outside influences should not be used to try to influence the voters of New Mexico.”

“Heather Wilson is the brightest member of Congress I know, and I hope she wins,” Domenici said in a statement. “I do want to tell all New Mexicans that today I cast my vote for Heather Wilson in the Senate race. Having brought her into politics, I have the utmost confidence in her abilities to serve New Mexicans and Americans.”

Pearce’s campaign issued a terse statement, saying they look forward to working with Domenici in the future.

“I respect Sen. Domenici and look forward to working with him in the future. Our campaign is in good shape and we are confident of victory on Tuesday,” Pearce said in a statement.

Public automated polling has shown Pearce with a single-digit lead against Wilson — and Wilson’s aggressive campaign tactics (accusing Pearce of voting to cut Social Security in her latest ad) seem to confirm that she is running from behind. She is expected to do well in her home base of Albuquerque, but needs significant turnout there to offset Pearce’s strength throughout much of Southern New Mexico.

The winner of the Republican primary will face Rep. Tom Udall (D-N.M.) in the general election. Udall is running unopposed for the Democratic nomination.


This is great news for Fred Dailey, but we have always liked his chances. He is a great conservative, well liked and well known in Ohio. Any time an incumbent is down by more that 10%, that spells trouble. I would like to see something more in depth like fav/unfav numbers, but for a 500 person poll of registered voters over the span of two weeks, these are great numbers for Dailey.
More and more, as we have blogged over the past few days, voters are waking up to the fact that they’ve been sold a bill of goods by a lot of the Democrats that won in 2006. Those Democrats campaigned as conservatives and have ended up voting the far Left agenda of the House leadership over 95% of the time.


Zac Space in OH-18, which we hope will soon be Fred Dailey country, is not really as conservative as he would like to portray himself as. The Weekly Standard notes, the “Blue Dogs” are being kept on a very short leash by Nancy Pelosi. That’s my thing with Blue Dog Democrats: they run as quasi-conservatives, but then go to DC and vote for left-leaning, liberal leadership and then do their bidding. It really is something of a joke.


For those not familiar with MN politics, if a candidate receives the endorsement of the party at the convention, as Paulsen did the third week of April, it means usually, but not always, there will be no primary; there is usually an agreement among GOP candidates that the convention endorsement means the others drop out or face the wrath of the party. If anyone remembers from two years ago, Bachmann got the convention endorsement over Krinkie, eventhough he had been endorsed by the Club for Growth and had a nice financial lead. Didn’t matter; after that convention, he agreed not to primary Bachmann. So Paulsen will not be challenged in a primary, which is a good thing as the general will be a tough race.


Schaffer Holds Steady
05 9th, 2008

Rasmussen reported that Udall is up 45%-42% over Bob. The last 4-5 polls I’ve seen on this race have shown no more than a 4% difference, with Schaffer anywhere from up 1% to down 3%. It’s going to be a very interesting race to watch this fall. I’m still holding out hope that the significant independent vote in Colorado will be swayed by McCain to vote for Schaffer.